CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-10-08T06:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-10-08T06:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/33844/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the southwest in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 imagery, and is only visible in STEREO A COR2 after the leading edge is out of the field of view due to a data gap from 2024-10-08T03:38Z to 09:23Z. The source is a large filament eruption centered near S25W30 which begins to erupt, deflecting southward, around 2024-10-08T05:20Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. A subsequent opening of field lines is visible over the southwest limb in SDO AIA 171 and 193 imagery at the time of the eruption, and post-eruptive arcades begin to form around 06:30Z in SDO AIA131, 171, and 193 imagery.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-10-11T00:20Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -2132.62 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:57Z
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